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Tuesday, 28 December 2010 12:13

Tablet dream delayed to 2011

Written by Fuad Abazovic

2010 in review: Things that didn't happen in 2010
The year 2010 is almost over. It was good, boring, exciting and interesting at the same time and we've seen some radical market changes that happened and some that got delayed to 2011 and beyond.

Let me start with notebooks. Some five years ago some crazy analyst predicted that notebook sales will exceed desktop sales. Fast forward to today and most people are buying notebooks as there is no need for desktops in many houses. The desktop market is shrinking.

In a few years from now, notebooks could see the same fate, as analysts now predict that combined sales of smart / super phones and tablets might be capable of dethroning the notebook dominance today. Of course, only time will tell.

This brings us to the most important delay od 2010, tablets. Poor Nvidia has the Tegra 2, cortex A9 chip ready for the good part of 2010 and Google just could not finish its Tablet operating systems. This didn't stop Samsung from launching its Android 2.2 (phone edition) 7-inch tablet that sold some 1.2 million units according to iSuppli, which is definitely a great start for tablet industry.

Google mobile phone operating systems are getting better and better, one revision of the time, and there is a huge market wating for Android based tablets.

Some will launch at CES in just a mattter of days and 2011 is supposed to be the year of tablets. Yes, this is a full year later than it was supposed to happen, but what can you do. Google was waiting, big companies were scared to go against Google, with samsung as exception and we can only hope that Honeycomb Android 3.0 can ship in March 2011 as many reported.

Tablets are taking over from netbooks, a slight spark in this computer industry that is radically shrinking as notebooks are so cheap and tablets are just cool to have. Intel might have some real issues with ARM dual and single core tablets that are supposed to overwhelm us in 2011.

Remember it all comes down to Google and its heavily delayed tablet operating system. Once that ships, tablet manufacturers might have a chance to fight with the iPad mania. Even with a great operating system and most likely better hardware for less money, the Android ARM community will have a tough job to fight with iPad one and two in 2011.

We are stuck with 40nm single and dual chips for tablets in 2011, but dual core phones show much better performance than single core ones, which gives us a hint that 2011 tablets might get much faster than the ones you’ve seen in 2010.

Still it will probably be 2012 until you see first 28nm tablets and phones and this is when it all becomes exciting as these chips will be way faster than the 40nm ones you see today.

Note for the Google Android team, it is all in your hands and Santa knows we've been good for the better part of 2010.
Last modified on Tuesday, 28 December 2010 12:55
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+1 #1 milkod2001 2010-12-28 15:31
what they really need to do to get more money of customers is to develop better batteries at least 2-3 times better then current. What are all these smartphones or tablets for if dies after few hours of using it(watching movies, playing games et.)

OR just an idea:
what about thin layer of mini solar panel under display(not sure if it's doable, if not then put mini solar panel under transparent plastic at the back of smartphone or tablet and simply flip it if u don't use it :)
-2 #2 shep 2010-12-28 21:10
-1 #3 Fud_u 2010-12-29 04:13
That Adam tablet look so slick. Sadly sleep took over and miss out the PQ version of the tablet by just a few hours :(
-5 #4 ckantack 2010-12-29 13:56
2010 was the year of the tablet for me! On April 3rd I bought an iPad. (My 1st ever Apple purchase.) No regrets...best gadget purchase ever! While the rest of the world is waiting for Windows or better Android tablets, I'm enjoying the iPad!
+1 #5 hoohoo 2010-12-31 05:42
re: tablets & notebooks.

It seems to me that if you need to type on your computer then a tablet is not very useful. And most people need to type, if only to post comments on Fudzilla ;-) I know the iPad has a soft keyboard but it takes up half the screen!

Notebooks have keyboards. Possibly I'm a dinosaur, but I do not think so.
0 #6 hoohoo 2010-12-31 05:49
re: Android

Probably it's been said before. Android seems not to be as tightly controlled qua apps as iPad. If Google were to offer a straight up C++ API then all those people that write open source apps for Linux and *BSD might do the same for Android. Big win for Android if it happened.

Apple allows Objective C(++?) but it's a minority language. Nobody learns that in university compsci classes.

Then there is RIM. Great business platform, very trusted company, but faced with Apple & Google, RIM needs to pull off a breakout. Who the h*ll wants to write for Adobe's middleware? Bullet in the foot I say.
+1 #7 spede 2011-01-02 19:02
Tegra sucks. Even Apple knows it. That's why iPad doesn't use it.

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