IDC says Microsoft will be out evolved
Last modified on Friday, 30 March 2012 17:53
IDC claims that it will take Android four years to overtake Windows devices. Beancounters working at the outfit expect a dramatic shift between 2011 and 2016 with Windows droppong from a leading 35.9 per cent share in 2011 down to 25.1 per cent in 2016.
Meanwhile the number of Android-based devices running on ARM CPUs will grow modestly from 29.4 per cent share in 2011 to a market-leading 31.1 per cent share in 2016. IDC thinks that iOS-based devices will grow from 14.6 per cent share in 2011 to 17.3 per cent in 2016. While its prediction about the iOS is unlikely, its prediction for Android might be accurate. An estimated 850,000 Android devices are activated every day and on the order of 300 million new devices are expected this year.
However it is not really comparing like with like. Although there is the whole mobile and consumerisation of IT thing, it is questionable as to whether adding Android to PC figures is completely fair. There are always going to be more mobile phones out there than PCs.