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iSuppli writes obituary for Moore's law
Doomed come 2014
iSuppli beancounters claim Moore's law will come to an end by 2014, provided the world doesn't come to an end a couple of years earlier.
Researchers believe it will become increasingly difficult for chipmakers to transition to new production processes, due to high costs and technology constraints. At nodes under 18nm, iSuppli believes the industry will hit a point where production tools become too costly to depreciate with volume production. In other words, they can't pay for themselves over their lifetime.
This basically means we are likely to see nodes over 18nm or 22nm stick around for years to come, and manufacturers will have to come up with ever more innovative concepts and designs to squeeze out more performance from less transistors.
More here.