Published in PC Hardware

AMD shares aim for $10, currently at $9.91

by on25 December 2009

Image

Are things really that good?


AMD closed last night at a 52 week high of $9.91 and a few things are to blame for such a development. The most important fact that busted AMD shares is that AMD got $1.25 billion alimentation from Intel and that it can pay a big part of its 5+ billion debt to many banks.

Since AMD usually loses money each quarter, it doesn’t have a good dynamic of returning its debt and this 1.25 billion surely boosted things. We estimate that Intel probably made in excess of 20 billion on its worldwide "Market development fund" MDF program, so paying $1.25 billion was like a joke to them.

The second thing that really boosted AMD was Intel’s capitulation with its Larrabee project that were cancelled in current development and got pushed at least until late 2010. Nvidia’s delay of Fermi also helped AMD as it ships some limited numbers of DirectX 11 chips for a whole quarter.

Now for the bad part. AMD’s roadmap for 2010 is anything but impressive and Intel has a chance to dominate in each and every market segment, especially in notebook and netbook segment.

AMD promises that things will get great in 2011 with Bulldozer and the real Fusion, but this is at least a year away from now and there is a big chance that with such low current average selling prices AMD has little chances to make things better in 2010.

AMD shares were at $2.10 at last Xmas and in a year time it got up almost 500 percent. In fact, we haven't seen AMD trade at these levels in over two years. Let’s see can AMD go much higher than $9.91 and continue its winning course.

 

Last modified on 25 December 2009
Rate this item
(0 votes)