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PC shipments continue to slide

by on12 April 2018


Gartner warns things are getting worse

Beancounters at the Gartner Group have added up some numbers and divided them by their shoe size and reached the conclusion that worldwide PC shipments have continued to slide thanks to depressed interest in the Far East.

PC sales totalled 61.7 million units in the first quarter of 2018, a 1.4 percent decline from the first quarter of 2017. The PC market experienced a 14th consecutive quarter of decline, dating back to the second quarter of 2012.

Asia/Pacific and the US experienced declining shipments, while other regions saw some minimal growth, but it was not enough to drive overall growth for the PC industry. In the first quarter of 2018, PC shipments in Asia/Pacific declined 3.9 percent compared with the same period last year, while shipments in the US decreased 2.9 percent.

Gartner principal analyst Mikako Kitagawa said that the major contributor to the decline came from China, where unit shipments declined 5.7 percent year over year.

"This was driven by China's business market, where some state-owned and large enterprises postponed new purchases or upgrades, awaiting new policies and officials' reassignments after the session of the National People's Congress in early March. "In the first quarter of 2018, there was some inventory carryover from the fourth quarter of 2017", she said.

Another issue was that vendors were cautious in overstocking due to the upcoming release of new models in the second quarter of 2018 with Intel's new eighth-generation core processors.

The top three vendors — HP, Lenovo and Dell — accounted for 56.9 percent of global PC shipments in the first quarter of 2018, compared with 54.5 percent of shipments in the first quarter of 2017 (see Table 1). Dell experienced the most substantial growth rate among the top six vendors worldwide, as its shipments increased 6.5 percent.


Preliminary Worldwide PC Vendor Unit Shipment Estimates for 1Q18 (Thousands of Units)


Company

1Q18 Shipments

1Q18 Market Share (%)

1Q17 Shipments

1Q17 Market Share (%)

1Q18-1Q17 Growth (%)

HP .

12,856

20.8

12,505

20.0

2.8

Lenovo

12,346

20.0

12,305

19.7

0.3

Dell

9,883

16.0

9,277

14.8

6.5

Apple

4,264

6.9

4,199

6.7

1.5

Asus

3,900

6.3

4,458

7.1

-12.5

Acer Group

3,828

6.2

4,189

6.7

-8.6

Others

14,609

23.7

15,637

25.0

6.6

Total

61,686

100.0

62,569

100.0

-1.4

HP's worldwide PC shipments increased 2.8 percent in the first quarter of 2018 versus the same period last year. In EMEA, HP saw double-digit growth in both desktop and mobile PCs. This was contrasted with a small decline in other regions. HP was adversely impacted by declining demand in the US, which accounts for one third of its total shipments.

Lenovo's global PC shipments remained flat in the first quarter of 2018. Lenovo achieved 6 percent growth in EMEA and double-digit shipment growth in Latin America. However, in Asia/Pacific - its largest market - PC shipments declined four percent.

After record holiday sales for consumer and gaming products in the fourth quarter of 2017, Dell continued to perform well in the first quarter of 2018. With double-digit shipment increases in EMEA, North America and Latin America, Dell grew in all regions except Asia/Pacific. Desktop and mobile PCs grew in equal measures, showing Dell's strength in the business segment.

However, PC prices continue to rise which is odd given that the smartphone market is also slowing down and there is uncertainty in PC replacement demand. Big G said that component companies were cautious about expanding their production capabilities. Therefore, persistent component shortages and a rising bill of materials continue to create an environment conducive to higher prices.

"In contrast to other DRAM-related price spikes, PC vendors are not reacting by reducing DRAM content. Rather they have passed the cost increase to consumers", Kitagawa said.

"With fewer people buying new machines, manufacturers need to get the highest profit margin from each sale. To do that, they are raising the selling points and focusing on customer experience or perception of value."

In the US, PC shipments totalled 11.8 million units in the first quarter of 2018, a 2.9 percent decrease from the first quarter of 2017. Dell moved into the No. 1 position in the US based on shipments, as its market share increased to 29.1 percent. HP moved into the No. 2 position as its shipments declined 4.8 percent, and its market share totalled 28.4 percent in the first quarter of 2018.


Company

1Q18 Shipments

1Q18 Market Share (%)

1Q17 Shipments

1Q17 Market Share (%)

1Q18-1Q17 Growth (%)

Dell

3,440

29.1

3,198

26.2

7.6

HP Inc.

3,363

28.4

3,532

29.0

-4.8

Lenovo

1,632

13.8

1,714

14.1

-4.8

Apple

1,491

12.6

1,484

12.2

0.5

Acer Group

321

2.7

429

3.5

-25.1

Others

1,586

13.4

1,836

15.1

-13.6

Total

11,833

100.0

12,193

100.0

-2.9

PC shipments in EMEA totaled 18.6 million units in the first quarter of 2018, a 1.7 percent increase year over year. Enterprise shipments increased as many Windows 10 projects that were put on hold in 2017 began to be implemented. The fast approach of the compliance deadline for the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) in Europe, as well as earlier reports of cybersecurity breaches, made security a strong priority in the hardware refresh cycle among enterprises. Eurasia continued to be a bright spot for EMEA, as several countries, such as Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan, saw strong demand in the first quarter of 2018.

PC shipments in Asia/Pacific totalled 21.9 million units in the first quarter of 2018, a 3.9 percent decline from the first quarter of 2017. The PC market in China drove the decline in Asia/Pacific. There is no significant sign of robust upgrading to the special version of Windows 10 from the Chinese government institutions. Consumer demand was weak as most buyers already took advantage of the aggressive promotions offered in the fourth quarter of 2017.

These results are preliminary. Final statistics will be available soon to clients of Gartner's PC Quarterly Statistics Worldwide by Region programme. 

Last modified on 12 April 2018
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