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IBM shares rise as suits make a return

by on17 January 2018

Making a recovery

For those who had written off Big Blue as an outfit which could no longer be as successful as it was in its pre-millennial days, it seems that the suits are making a comeback – thanks to the cloud and Intel's security stuff ups.

Shares in IBM rose nearly two percent on Wednesday, helped by a double-notch upgrade for the company from Barclays ahead of fourth quarter results on Thursday. Up to Tuesday’s close, the shares have gained nearly 12 percent since its last quarterly results on October 17.

Barclays cited a handful of reasons for moving the stock to “overweight” from “underweight”, saying the company could emerge as the next important cloud vendor after Amazon and Microsoft.

Out of 24 brokerages covering the stock, eight now have a “buy” or a higher rating; 14 have “hold” and just two “sell”.

To counter a slowdown in its legacy hardware and software businesses, IBM has been shifting focus steadily towards data analytics and cloud computing services.

The cloud market is currently dominated by Amazon Web Services and Microsoft’s Azure unit - both of which have been growing in double digits as customers scale up their Internet presence.

“There is room for another cloud player”, Barclays analyst Mark Moskowitz wrote in a note titled “IBM - A New Dawn Emerges” and raised his price target on the stock to $192 from $133.

The company, which will report after US markets close on Thursday, trumped Wall Street’s estimates for both profit and revenue in the third quarter ended Sept. 30.

While total revenue in that quarter fell 0.4 percent, the 22nd straight quarterly fall, it was also the smallest quarterly drop since the third quarter of 2016.

Moskowitz said IBM’s revenue may prove stable or even grow over the next 12-18 months.

He also argued that recently disclosed Spectre and Meltdown processor security flaws could allow IBM to gain share in the mid-range and high-end server market.

IBM last month launched Power9 processors, designed for cloud computing and machine learning, to better compete with the likes of Intel and Advanced Micro Devices.

A fix for Meltdown, which only affects Intel chips, could lower performance by 30 percent in some cases, pushing customers to look for new processors, potentially lifting both IBM’s market share and revenue, Moskowitz wrote.

 IBM said firmware patches for Power9 platforms were available to fix the security flaws.

Last modified on 17 January 2018
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